![]() In contrast, home-field hasn't changed much at all in college football. I personally started the NFL season with the league-average home-field advantage at approximately 1.75 points, but that number has since dropped to 1.1 and will remain a work in progress. In general, home-field had been trending down in the NFL toward an average of 2.0 points anyway as teams become smarter about traveling and officials become less biased with challenges and reviews. ![]() Home teams have gone 90-85-1 (51.4%) straight up, winning by an average margin of only 0.3 points per game.įrom 2003 through last season, home teams had won 57% of their games by an average margin of 2.4 points per game, per our Bet Labs Database. To provide some additional context, we've seen home-field advantage in the NFL mean very little this year with partial crowds or empty stadiums.
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